Can 5 pips a trade = Financial Freedom

If you start with a bank of £150 and capture 5 pips a trade 3 times a day = 15 pips a day at £1 a pip and increase to £2 a pip as your bank grows then to £3 a pip, you get the picture build slow and steady, trade safely. In less than 6 weeks you would be trading at £10 per pip, that’s 15 pips a day @ £10 = £150 per day Tax Free. 15 pips a day is all that you need for financial security why because 15 pits a day can equate to, well you can trade a pip from a £1 to £150 per pip, so you do the maths.
So all we need now is a trading strategy that will give us 5 pips + the spread within a trade. Thats what the charting software I use along with pivot points, support and resistance levels does. There is one unique indicator that is not found on any other charting software that identifies a potential trading candle within a 15 min chart using this with pivot points, support and resistance 5 pips is achievable on most trades. With carefull money management and tight stops I think I can do this, so lets find out.
I will be paper trading for the 1st few weeks, then if all is well I will start trading a £1 per pip.

Thursday, 15 November 2007

The Zurich Axioms – If You Want To Get Rich at FX Trading Learn Them!

The Zurich Axioms by Max Gunther are not just applicable to forex trading there for any speculator who wants to make big gains. This book is simply one of the best ever written on making money lets look at it in more detail.Max Gunther states some interesting facts about Switzerland that will make you think and set the tone of the book.“Consider the puzzle of Switzerland. This ancestral home of mine is a rocky little place about half the size of Maine. It has not one inch of seacoast. It is one of the most mineral-poor lands on earth. It possesses not a drop of oil to call its own, barely a bucket of coal. As for farming, its climate and topography are inhospitable to just about everything.Yet the Swiss are among the most affluent people in the world. How do the Swiss do it”?Quite simply over the years Switzerland has produced some of the world's cleverest investors, speculators, and gamblers and the book will help you get into the mindset of these traders. The traders who wrote the Axioms got rich following them so here are 12 to boost not just your FX profits but profits in anything you speculate in.1. “Worry is not a sickness but a sign of health. If you are not worried, you are not risking enough”.Today in investing its fashionable to keep risk small but fact is most investors try so hard to restrict risk they actually create it – if you don’t take calculated risks you won’t win and if you don’t risk enough you won’t win big.2. "Always take your profit too soon".Always get out to soon the bulk of traders simply stay in to long let the risk reward go against them and give back their profits.3. "When the ship starts to sink, don't pray. Jump".When your wrong – that’s it get out and don’t come back. 4. "Human behavior cannot be predicted. Distrust anyone who claims to know the future, however dimly".One of my favorites and true. Today people will tell you they can predict the future and in FX trading it will cost you a few hundred dollars – get real. Markets are not scientific and cannot be predicted in advance. 5. "Chaos is not dangerous until it begins to look orderly"Markets are chaotic by nature as humans are involved if they look to easy or orderly get worried there could be a big change on the cards. 6. "Avoid putting down roots. They impede motion".Don’t see the currency see the opportunity and this changes all the time don’t fall in love with one pair when there is a better opportunity elsewhere. 7. "A hunch can be trusted if it can be explained."Keep your emotions out of trading if you fall victim to them you will trade on hope rather than reality 8. "It is unlikely that God's plan for the universe includes making you rich".No one can make you rich not even god! And neither can anyone else – its all up to you to take charge of your destiny no blaming your broker, the news or the guy you bought an e-book from. Take responsibility for your actions.9 "Optimism means expecting the best, but confidence means knowing how you will handle the worst. Never make a move if you are merely optimistic".If you are not confident about what you do and stick with your plan through the bad times and stay in the game you will lose. Confidence comes from self knowledge of who you are and what you are doing and you need it to succeed. 10 "Disregard the majority opinion. It is probably wrong"Of course it is - as the bulk of traders lose but how many traders try and follow news stories or opinions and don’t come to their own conclusions? The vast majority don’t join them.11 "If it doesn't pay off the first time, forget it"Don’t indulge in revenge trading or continuing with a system that’s plainly not working. Perseverance is great but only if the logic is soundly based. 12. "Long-range plans engender the dangerous belief that the future is under control. It is important never to take your own long-range plans, or other people's, seriously"How many times have I seen traders make neat plans 2 years forward about how they are going to compound up to a huge sum? Loads of times but the markets don’t see it that way. There in a constant state of flux like the world we live in and you need to take each small step as it comes. The book has much to enjoy but what I like about it is that it tells you to things that most guru’s or writers frown upon but the guys who devised these Axioms got rich – its not a book on theory it’s a book on mindset and if you want to bet and you want to win in anything (including forex) get this book and read it and make it an essential part of your forex education. FREE! TRADER PDF'S NEWSLETTERS & PRO FOREX TRADER COURSE!Get newsletters, systems and some critical FREE FOREX Trading PDF's to give you the facts on how to become a professional trader and get more great forex info at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com/index.html

Wednesday, 14 November 2007

What is Forex trading system?

Forex trading systems are very popular as a method of investing money to make more money. Forex trading is all about putting your money into another currency for long or short term to earn more money. Many forex trading systems are based on how a stock exchange works. What you will find is that a forex trading system will permit you to invest at your currency rate, have your currency changed to another currency and then invest in a company that is foreign to your own country. A forex trading system is built upon worldwide investors, and worldwide companies, as well as world wide currencies.

A forex trading system online
A forex trading system online will give you the same results as a forex trading system offline, but you can access and see your money faster. You can invest, move, trade, and remove your money faster online with a forex trading system than you can offline, while you wait for paperwork to be completed. Forex systems are going to build wealth for investors who are willing to take the time to learn about their investments, and who are going to trust their brokers to make additional decisions.

What type of forex trading system or broker should you trust?
As with any investment company or trading system, you want to be able to trust who you are dealing with. If you can't reach the forex trading system representative when you want by phone, by fax, in person, or even by email you are working with the wrong company. A company that uses forex trading systems and gives you opportunities to world wide investments should be able to communicate with you during various times of the business day.

In addition, you want to work and invest with a forex trading system company that will put your money first, that will listen to what you want to do, and how you want to do it. Forex trading companies that are calling you all the time, that give you very little room to make decisions and that are considered to be pushy in your mind, is the forex trading systems company you should avoid doing further business with. Any investment company should realize you, as the consumer and end user for any trading system, should be able to take your time and learn about any investment before making that investment.

If a forex trading system representative calls you and asks for large sums of money, that you need to get involved in this action right now, you should be suspicious. Any broker or forex trading consultant should give you time, and their best information, not demands on your time and money. Search for a forex trading system you are comfortable with before investing money.


Kenneth Langlet is an independent writer and owner of the website http://www.broker-trading-system.com/ where you can get more information about forex trading system.

Forex Trading Software

If you are looking to get started trading the Forex, you will find that there are numerous software programs available (both web based and desktop based) for you to use in your trading. In fact, most brokers offer clients a software package for free or as part of their trading account. Usually the software that comes with your trading account is a very basic "bare bones" model. Sometimes, more features are available for a price. The software packages your broker provides can be an important consideration in choosing a broker. You may want to download and try some different packages using a demo account. This will give you a better idea of which software package you find most suitable to your unique style of trading.

Forex trading software comes in two basic flavors - desktop software, and web based software. Which one you choose to work with depends on your preference and other more technical factors. Obviously, the Forex market is very dynamic and you need to have the most reliable up to date connection to the data as possible. Your internet connection speed is a factor here, and if you can afford it, you really should be connecting via broadband.

Your internet connection speed is just one of the factors you should consider when selecting forex trading software. The biggest consideration should be one of security.

Generally speaking, web based forex software is more secure than a desktop based software package. Why is that? Well, with a desktop software, your information and data is stored on your hard drive thus making it vulnerable to numerous security issues. If your computer became infected by a virus, your personal data and the integrity of your trading system can become compromised. Likewise, in the event of hard drive failure, your important data can be lost. Then there is the threat of prying eyes accessing your trading systems.

Luckily, if you choose to go with a desktop based software for your forex trading, you can do some things to limit the risks. For starters, a dedicated computer just for trading the forex would be a wise investment. Due to the popularity of forex trading, there are computers made specifically with a forex traders needs in mind. Even if you cant afford a dedicated machine, you should still apply the following tips to your trading computer:

* Password protect your trading software and personal data
* Make regular backups of your trading data
* Use a anti virus program and keep it up to date
* Update your trading software regularly

If you choose to go with a web based trading software, allot of the security and maintenance issues are handled by the provider. Online based forex systems are hosted on secure servers, the same type of servers credit card processing is handled on. This gives you a great deal of protection, as your data is encrypted. Also, backups and mirrors of your account data are made by your software provider to protect you from data loss.

Aside from the security considerations, you may find that an online based trading software is simply more convenient. There is no software to download as the software runs in your regular web browser. This means that you always will have access to the latest versions and features. Also, if you travel you will certainly appreciate the ability to log in and trade from any computer with an internet connection.

As you can see, there are many options in forex trading software. You ultimately should choose to work with the software that you personally find easiest and most intuitive to use.

About The Author:

For more information on Forex software and Forex trading systems, visit: http://www.forexpolis.com

The Benefits of Trading The Forex Market

Historically, the FX market was available most to major banks, multinational corporations and other participants who traded in large transaction sizes and volumes. Small-scale traders including individuals like you and I, had little access to this market for such a long time. Now with the advent of the Internet and technology, FX trading is becoming an increasingly popular investment alternative for the general public.

The benefits of trading the currency market:

  1. It is open 24-hours and it closes only on the weekends;
  2. It is very liquid and efficient;
  3. It is very volatile;
  4. It has very low transaction costs;
  5. You can use a high level of leverage (borrowed money) with ease; and
  6. You can profit from a bull or a bear market.

Continuous, 24-Hour Trading

The currency exchange is a 24-hour market. You may decide to trade after you come home from work. Regardless of what time-frame you want to trade at whatever time of the day, there would be enough buyers and sellers to take the other side of your trade. This feature of the market gives you enough flexibility to manage your trading around your daily routine.

Liquidity And Efficiency

When there are a lot of buyers and a lot of sellers, you can expect to buy or sell at a price that is very close to the last market price. The currency market is the most liquid market in the world. Trading volume in the currency markets can be between 50 and 100 times larger than the New York Stock Exchange (Source: Oanda.)



When you are trading stocks, you may have experienced events where one piece of news accelerates or decelerates the price of the underlying stock you may have bought into. Perhaps a director has been kicked out by the shareholders of a company or the company has just released a new product and big investors are buying the shares of a particular company. Share prices can be drastically affected by the actions or inactions of one or a few individuals. So if you are relying on television reports and newspapers to get your news, most of the opportunities or warnings will have come too late for you to take advantage by the time you get them.



The value of currencies on the other hand is affected by so many factors and so many participants that the likelihood of any one individual or group of individuals drastically affecting the value of a currency is minute. Because of its sheer size, the currency market is hard to manipulate. The ability for people to engage in 'insider trading' is virtually eliminated. As an average trader, you are less disadvantaged. You are likely to be playing on relatively equal ground along with all the other traders and investors whom you are competing against.



Note about price gaps:



For those people who have already traded other markets, you probably know about price 'gaps'. 'Gaps' occur when prices 'jump' from one price level to another without having taken any incremental steps to get there. For example, you may be trading a share that closes at $10 at the end of today but due to some event that happens overnight; it opens tomorrow at $5 and continues to go downwards for the rest of the day.



Gaps bring about another degree of uncertainty that may meddle with a trader's strategy. Probably one of the most worrying aspects of this is when a trader uses stop-losses. In this case, if a trader puts a stop-loss at $7 because he no longer wants to be in a trade if the share price hits $7, his trade will remain open overnight and the trader wakes up tomorrow with a loss bigger than he may have been prepared for.



After looking at a couple of forex charts, you will realize that there are little price 'gaps' or none at all, especially on the longer-term charts like the 3-hour, 4-hour or the daily charts.



Volatility



Trading opportunities exist when prices fluctuate. If you buy a share for $2 and it stays there, there is no opportunity to make a profit. The magnitude of level of this fluctuation and its frequency is referred to as volatility. As a trader, it is volatility that you profit from. Large volume transactions and high liquidity combined with fewer trading instruments generate greater intra-day volatility in the currency market that can be exploited by day-traders. The high volatility of the currency market indicates that a trader can potentially earn 5 times more money from currency trading than trading the most liquid shares.



Volatility is a measure of maximum return that a trader can generate with perfect foresight. Volatility for the most liquid stocks are between 60 to 100. Volatility for currency trading is 500. (Source: Oanda.)



In this respect, currencies make a better trading vehicle for day-traders than the equity markets.



Low Transaction Costs



A currency transaction typically incurs no commission or transaction fees. For a forex trader, the spread is the only cost he or she needs to cover in taking on a position. In addition, because of the currency market's efficiency, there is little or no 'slippage' costs.



'Slippage' is the cost involved when traders enter the market at a price worse than the level they wanted to get into. For example, a trader wants to buy a share at $2.00 but by the time, the order gets executed, his gets to buy the shares at $2.50. That fifty cents difference is his slippage cost. Slippage cost affects large-volume traders a lot. When they buy large quantities of a commodity, it oversupplies the market with buy orders. This applies a pressure for the price to go up. By the time they get to buy all the quantities they wanted, the average price they got their commodities would be higher than the price they intended to get them for. Conversely, when they sell large quantities of a commodity, they oversupply the market with sell orders. This applies a pressure for the price to go down. By the time they finish selling all their commodities, their average selling price is less than what they initially intended to sell them for.



Due to lower transaction costs, minimum slippage and strong intra-day volatility, individuals can trade frequently at small costs. As an approximate, you may only expect to have a spread of 0.03% of your position size. To give you an example, you can buy and sell 10,000 US Dollars and this will only incur a 3-point spread, equivalent to $3.



Leverage



There are not a lot of banks or people who would lend you money so that you can use it to trade shares. And if there are, it would be very hard for you to convince them to invest in you and in your idea that a certain share is going to go up or down. Therefore, most of the time, if you have a $10,000 account, you can only really afford to buy $10,000 worth of stocks.



In currency trading however, because you use 'borrowed money', you can trade $10,000 of a currency and you only need anywhere between fifty (For a margin lending ratio of 200:1) to two hundred dollars ( For a margin lending ratio of 50:1) in your trading account. This makes it possible for an average trader with a small trading account, under $10,000 to be able to profit sufficiently from the movements of the currency exchange rates. This concept is explained further in The Part-Time Currency Trader.



Profit From A Bull And Bear Market



When you are trading shares, you can only profit when the price of a stock goes up. When you suspect that it is about to go down or that it is just going to be moving sideways, then the only thing you can do is sell your shares and stand aside. One of the frustrations of trading shares is that an individual cannot profit when prices are going down. In the currency market, it is easy for you to trade a currency downward so that you can profit when you think it is going to lose value. This is easy to do because currency trading simply involves buying one currency and selling another, there is no structural bias that makes it difficult to trade 'downwards'. This is why the currency market has been occasionally referred to as the eternal bull market.







This is an excerpt, modified from the book: The Part-Time Currency Trader.

- END OF ARTICLE -

Please include the paragraph below if you are republishing this article online or in print.

About The Author:

Marquez Comelab is the author of the book: The Part-Time Currency Trader . It is a guide for working men and women interested in trading currencies in the forex market. It explains everything you need to know to create your own trading methodology; touching on the basics and preparation before expanding onto the topics of market analysis, tools, trading systems, risk management strategies, discipline and psychology. See: http://www.marquezcomelab.com . His other articles can also be found at http://www.thefreedomtochoose.com ; along with other helpful trading, business, investing and self-improvement articles.

How To Read Forex Charts: 5 Things You Must Know

Learning the basic skills in forex, such as how to read forex charts, is really important.

This is because once you have this vital skill under your belt, it will be a lot easier and quicker when the time comes for you to learn and practice an actual forex trading system.

By the time you finish this article, you'll learn how to read forex charts, as well as know the pitfalls that can occur when reading them, especially if you haven't traded forex before.

Firstly, let's revise the basics of a forex trading as this relates directly to how to reade forex charts.

Each currency pair is always quoted in the same way. For example, the EURUSD currency pair is always as EURUSD, with the EUR being the base currency, and the USD being the terms currency, not the other way round with the USD first. Therefore if the chart of the EURUSD shows that the current price is fluctuating around 1.2155, this means that 1 EURO will buy around 1.2155 US dollars.

And your trade size (face value) is the amount of base currency that you're trading. In this example, if you want to buy 100 000 EURUSD, you're buying 100 000 EUROs.

Now let's have a look at the 5 important steps on how to read a forex chart:

1. If you buy the currency pair, that is, you're long the position, realise that you're looking for the chart of that currency pair to go up, to make a profit on the trade. That is, you want the base currency to strengthen against the terms currency.

On the other hand if you sell the currency pair to short the position, then you're looking for the chart of that currency pair to go down, to make a profit. That is, you want the base currency to weaken against the terms currency.

Pretty simple so far.

2. Always check the time frame displayed. Many trading systems will use multiple time frames to determine the entry of a trade. For example, a system may use a 4 hour and a 30 minute chart to determine the overall trend of the currency pair by using indicators such as MACD, momentum, or support and resistance lines, and then a 5 minute chart to look for a rise from a temporary dip to determine the actual entry.

So ensure that the chart you're looking at has the correct time frame for your analysis. The best way to do this is to set up your charts with the correct time frames and indicators on them for the system you're trading, and to save and reuse this layout.

3. On most forex charts, it is the BID price rather than the ask price that's displayed on the chart. Remember that a price is always quoted with a bid and an ask (or offer). For example, the current price of EURUSD may be 1.2055 bid and 1.2058 ask (or offer). When you buy, you buy at the ask, which is the higher of the 2 prices in the spread, and when you sell, you sell at the bid, which is the lower of the two prices.

If you use the chart price to determine an entry or exit, realise that when you place an order to sell when the chart price is say 1.330, then this is the price that you'll sell at assuming no slippage.

If on the other hand, you place an order to buy when the chart price is the same price, then you'll actually buy at 1.3333. A forex system will often determine whether your orders will be placed simply according to the chart price or whether you need to add a buffer when buying or selling.

Also note that on many platforms, when you're placing stop orders (to buy if the price rises above a certain price, or sell when the price falls below a certain price) you can select either "stop if bid" or "stop if offered".

4. Realise that the times shown on the bottom of forex charts are set to the particular time zone that the forex provider's charts are set to, be it GMT, New York time, or other time zones.

It's handy to have a world clock available on your computer desktop in order to convert the different time zones. This is important when you're trading major economic announcements.

You'll need to convert the time of an announcement to your local time, and the chart time, so you'll know when the announcement is going to happen, and therefore when you need to trade.

5. Finally, check whether the times on your forex charts corresponds to when the candle opens or when the candle closes. Your charting software may be different to someone else's in this way.

The reason I mention this, is that if you need to trade major economic announcements, either by entering a trade based on the movements that happen after the announcement, or to exit a trade before the announcement in avoid getting stopped out during it, then you need to be precise (to the minute!) as these trades are performed according to what happens at the 1 minute immediately after the announcement, not the candle afterwards!

So there you have it.

You now have the 5 essential keys to how to properly read forex charts, which will help you to avoid the common mistakes which many forex beginners make when looking at charts, and which will speed up your progress when you're looking at forex charting packages, and forex trading systems that you want to trade!

Now that you know this, practice looking at forex charts with each of these 5 points in mind.

So get to it!

About The Author:

Mark Hamburg helps you to go from forex novice, to actually understanding what you need to know about forex, quickly and easily. To learn more valuable forex tips, tricks and hints, go now to his site to continue your tutorial on forex charting software, and much more.

Forex Trading Guide

Like many people I am sure you are interested to know more about Forex trading. To put it bluntly Forex trading can be either one the best ways to make or lose LOTS of money. Only those who take the Forex market seriously will be able to make money with it in the long term.

The Forex trading market is beyond a doubt the world's largest market where all exchanges happen instantaneously. Thus, trades are a key challenge for even the most knowledgeable Forex bankers and traders. They have to learn and consider many factors before performing even a single trade.

At first when currencies began to be traded openly, only large banks were allowed to perform trades. These days, due to the advent of internet trading and margin accounts almost anybody can begin Forex trading. This in turn, has added to the liquidity of the Forex market, and has resulted in a huge increase in the number of individuals who are now active in the market.

So, does this mean it is easy to earn money through Forex trading? To answer this we must consider a few things.

Some data by Forex brokers seems to suggest that 90 percent of traders end up of losing their capital, 5 percent of traders have been able to break even and only 5 percent of them attain steady beneficial results. Thus, it seems that trading successfully is no simple task.

However, if you can learn to be among the 5 percent who make consistent money you can do extremely well by using Forex trading. To help you in this end I have listed five key ways to improve your odds dramatically of making money in the Forex market.

1. Education

Successful traders are knowledgeable about the Forex market. They have chosen to educate themselves about every single vital detail of Forex trading. The best traders know that every trade that they perform is an opportunity to learn something new.

2. Forex Trading System

All of the profitable traders have a Forex trading system or strategy. Furthermore, they have the will power to stick strictly to that system, because the best traders know that by sticking with their system they stand a far greater chance of earning money.

3. Price Behavior

Knowledgeable and successful traders also include price behavior in their systems. They have learned that prices can change quickly and suddenly but are prepared to deal with those situations when they arrive.

4. Trading Psychology

First-rate traders are aware of psychological issues that affect the choices of other traders make when Forex trading. They know that people do not always act rationally, and as a result this can alter the expected outcome of a trade. This can help them both when deciding to enter into a trade or when to exit.

5. Money Management

This is far and away the most important factor that will determine whether or not you become a successful trader. Averting the hazard of financial ruin is the main concern of all top traders. This means both adequately funding your trading account (only with money you can afford to live without of course) and never entering into trades that can potentially wipe out all of your assets. Better to start trading small and always use stop-loss orders to guarantee that your first trades are not also your last.

This is by no means an exhaustive list of everything you need to know but it outlines some of the areas you need to consider before making even that first trade. Now you know that it is not easy to earn money in the Forex market, however it is achievable.

However, success does not happen overnight and anyone promising you that it can is trying to sell you snake oil. It is an ongoing processes not something you pick up in a weekend. Trading success depends on the trader, and how hard you are willing to work to achieve your Forex trading goals.

Also, remember to try to have some fun. The clearest sign that Forex trading is not for you is if you find the prospect of learning about how the Forex market works boring or dull. If this is the case you won't stick with it long enough to make money and you will be among the 90 percent who fail. Just remember these three important things: be disciplined in your trading habits, manager your money wisely and enjoy the experience of Forex trading.

Ian Wright has always been fascinated with all forms of investing. Most recently, he has created a Free Forex Training Guide and has started a Forex Trading blog.

What Would You Rather Do: Read About Someone Elses Forex Success or Experience Your Own

You can draw some useful parallels between running a business and Forex trading. For instance, most successful businesses keep statistics on everything from their conversion rate, to their average dollar sale, to the number of people that come in the door. Businesses do this to keep on top of how they are doing on a day-to-day basis and businesses must first take score before begining to improve on that score. Using a Forex back testing plan in your trading works exactly the same way.

Now that you`re looking at Forex trading as a business, you need to learn some valuable statistics about your system so you can improve it`s performance. You would use a Forex back testing method. You can`t improve your system unless you have something to measure it against. How could you expect to improve your trading unless you knew what it was you were looking to improve? You can discover these measurements and other valuable information about your trading system, by using a Forex back testing plan.

There are two ways that you can use a Forex back testing plan to back test a system. You can do it manually, which can be a drawn-out and labour-intensive process, or you can do it with the aid of some software packages. Unfortunately, I recommend you do it by hand when you first start out. You`ll get a much better feel for your system, and you`ll understand exactly how using a Forex back testing plan works in all its intricacies. Once you have the Forex back testing plan and the in-depth knowledge, you could look at finding a software package that does it for you.

There are a few major statistics on your Forex back testing plan that you need that you will uncover through back testing. The first statistic you need to become familiar with is the R multiple principal. R stands for risk, the risk you take on any trade when you enter the market. The R multiple of a trade is the ratio of the profit or loss compared to the amount of money risked to make the profit or loss.

Therefore, if you risk $200 dollars in your initial purchase, and you make a profit of $1,000, you have made five times the amount you risked in the trade. You have an R multiple of five. This statistic gives you a good idea of the relative size of your profits to your losses. You can compare the average size of your winning trades with the average size of your losing trades.

The next statistic you`ll find useful is your win to loss ratio. This is how many times you get a winning trade in proportion to how many times you get a losing trade. For example, if you had ten trades, four of those trades were winners, and six were losers, your win to loss ratio is simply four to six. This is your hit rate; you`ll get 40% of your trades correct.

With these two simple statistics, you can calculate the average size of your profits and of your losses, multiply these figures with your win to loss ratio, and calculate on average how much money you make with every dollar you risk.

For those of you who think this sounds like a too much work, particularly using a Forex back testing plan that you need to do to uncover these statistics, consider this scenario: Imagine yourself trading a system that you knew had a win to loss ratio of 60/40. You made profit on every six trades and lost one out of every four. How do you think you would feel, where would your confidence level be, after you traded the system for a little while and you received a string of 11 losses in a row?

Now, you know that this system has a win to loss ratio of six to four. Would you have the confidence to open another trade if your system brought up another buy signal after getting 11 trades wrong?

Unless you use Forex back testing plan to back tested your system, I doubt that your confidence level will remain high. That trading system may be a fantastic profitable system. However, since you didn`t use your Forex back testing plan to back test it, you don`t know that historically this system received up to 13 losses in a row, but was still profitable.

Here`s another point you may not have picked up unless you used your Forex back testing plan. Once you`ve set your money management rules and you begin to trade, you will likely experience a string of losses. Countless times, I`ve had clients who get disheartened by this fact because they don`t understand the nature of setting good management. If you`re adhering to the rules of cutting your losses short and letting your profits run, because you`re cutting your losses short, those trades are going to last for a shorter amount of time.

This means once you begin trading the odds of getting losses early in the game are much higher than getting a winning trade. This is particularly true when you consider that many successful trading systems run on a 40/60 win to loss ratio. However, you will never know the intricacies of your system unless you use a Forex back testing plan and back test it.

Using a Forex back testing plan, will help you to understand what works and what doesn`t. It will give you the statistics to gauge the effectiveness of your trades. It fills in your scorecard, and allows you to make improvements. But, you shouldn`t simply believe everything I`ve told you. Instead, you need to prove it to yourself by using some Forex back testing plans and back test your system.


-=-=-==-=-=-=-==-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
David Jenyns is recognized as the leading expert when it
comes to designing profitable forex trading systems.

Discover the "secret formula" of trading that anyone can use
to consistently generate BIG profits from the market by
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